Good morning. Politics and steel tariffs make strange bedfellows: A U.S. Supreme Court ruling just yanked Trump’s “national security” tariffs, leaving India’s $7.3B export lifeline dangling. Imagine revoking a Monopoly “Get Out of Jail Free” card mid-game—suddenly, cheaper global metals flood the board, undercutting Indian industries. While trade tensions cool, New Delhi’s exporters face a high-stakes pivot: diversify or brace for cheaper competitors.

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How a US Supreme Court Ruling on Trump’s Tariffs Affects India

A recent US Supreme Court decision striking down tariffs imposed during Donald Trump’s presidency could disrupt 10% of India’s annual exports to the US. The ruling challenges the legality of Trump-era trade policies, particularly Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum, which were justified as national security measures.

Key Implications for India

• India exported $7.3 billion worth of goods under Section 232 tariffs in 2024, including steel, aluminum, and manufactured products.
• The Supreme Court deemed the tariffs unconstitutional, arguing they overstepped presidential authority.
• Removing these tariffs may flood global markets, lowering prices and undercutting Indian exporters.

Broader Trade Uncertainty

While the ruling could ease US-India trade tensions, experts warn it leaves India’s export strategy in flux. Industries reliant on tariff protections now face competition from cheaper imports. Analysts urge Indian businesses to diversify export markets and improve cost efficiency to mitigate risks.

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